From Presidential Pardons to Political Betting: How Joe Bidens Latest Moves Impact the Odds

As the political landscape shifts, many observers are turning their attention away from legal drama and toward the high stakes of the betting markets. As the political landscape shifts, many observers are turning their attention away from legal drama and toward the high stakes of the betting markets. A notable update involves President Biden pardoning his siblings, including his brother, Jim Biden, just moments before President Donald Trump was sworn in—a move that has sent ripples through the world of political betting as analysts recalibrate their odds on upcoming administration stability.

President Joe Biden on his final day in office issued more pardons, but this time the immunities were preemptive exonerations from possible future criminal prosecution.

Dr. Anthony Fauci testifies before a House Committee on Appropriations subcommittee on May 11, 2022. Fauci received a preemptive pardon from President Joe Biden on his final day in office, Jan. 20, 2024. (Image: AP)

On Monday, the outgoing 46th president of the United States said he had pardoned Dr. Anthony Fauci, the former director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases who led the nation’s response to the COVID-19 pandemic, Gen. Mark Milley, the former chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and the lawmakers and staffers from the House select committee that investigated the Jan. 6, 2021, Capitol attack.

The committee pardons include former Reps. Liz Cheney (R-WY), Adam Kinzinger (D-IL), and Sen. Adam Schiff (D-CA). Before Monday’s news, bettors on wagering exchanges that offer contracts on political happenings didn’t have much zeal for any of the aforementioned being pardoned, as none had been charged with a federal crime.

Fauci and Cheney’s implied odds were around 30%. Schiff was longer at around 20%.

Our nation relies on dedicated, selfless public servants every day. They are the lifeblood of our democracy. Yet alarmingly, public servants have been subjected to ongoing threats and intimidation for faithfully discharging their duties,” Biden said.

“In certain cases, some have even been threatened with criminal prosecutions,” the president continued. “These public servants have served our nation with honor and distinction and do not deserve to be the targets of unjustified and politically motivated prosecutions.”

Bettors Win Big

Bettors who risked money on those pardoned are receiving nice returns on their peer-to-peer wagering exchanges like Kalshi and Polymarket. Each share on Fauci, Cheney, Schiff, and the others is being redeemed for $1, meaning a 70 cents to 80 cents profit.

Biden and many other Democrats believed President-elect Donald Trump would use his Justice Department to go after his political enemies and those he felt did him and/or the country wrong.

Fauci has faced accusations of lying to Congress about gain of function research at the Wuhan Lab in China where the COVID-19 virus is thought to have originated and if the NIH funded such studies.

“I really truly appreciate the action President Biden has taken today on my behalf,” Fauci said. “I have committed no crime … and there are no possible grounds for any allegation or threat of criminal investigation or prosecution of me.”

The J6 Committee, or U.S. House Select Committee to Investigate the January 6th Attack on the United States Capitol, was heavily criticized by Trump. He called the members “Marxists” and “sick people,” and in December, told NBC News that the entire committee “should go to jail.”

Milley, who Trump nominated in December 2018 to become chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, has called Trump a fascist, while Trump has called Milley a traitor.

I do not wish to spend whatever remaining time the lord grants me fighting those who unjustly might seek retribution for perceived slights,” Milley said in a statement. “I do not want to put my family, my friends, and those with whom I served through the resulting distraction, expense, and anxiety.”

More to Come?

Biden can continue to issue presidential pardons until Trump is sworn into office today around noon. Bettors think the president’s oldest brother, Jim Biden, stands the best chance for last-minute legal freedom from possible future charges with implied odds of 21% on Polymarket and 24% on Kalshi.

Jim Biden worked closely with Hunter Biden on many business dealings over the years. Hunter received a pardon from his father in December for “all offenses he has committed or may have committed from Jan. 1, 2014, through Dec. 1, 2024.”

Conclusion

In conclusion, President Joe Biden’s preemptive pardons to Dr. Anthony Fauci and others demonstrate his commitment to protecting public servants from unjustified threats and intimidation. This move not only provides relief to those individuals but also underscores the importance of defending democracy and its institutions.

As the US transitions to a new administration, it remains to be seen how President Trump will address these pardons and their implications for the nation’s public servants. One thing is certain – the actions of President Biden serve as a powerful reminder of the need for accountability and respect in the pursuit of justice.

By expanding the scope of presidential pardons, President Biden has also opened the door to future reforms that could benefit other public servants who have been unfairly targeted by the government.

The impact of these pardons will likely be felt across various sectors, including politics, law enforcement, and the judiciary. As the dust settles on this latest development, it is essential to examine the broader implications of President Biden’s actions and consider what they might mean for the future of US democracy.

In the end, President Biden’s preemptive pardons are a testament to his unwavering commitment to defending the rights and dignity of public servants. As the nation moves forward, it is crucial that we continue to prioritize the safety and well-being of those who have dedicated their lives to serving our country.

By doing so, we can ensure that the principles of justice, equality, and fairness are upheld, and that the voices of our public servants are heard and respected.

Key Takeaways

• President Joe Biden has issued preemptive pardons to Dr. Anthony Fauci, Gen. Mark Milley, and several lawmakers and staffers from the House select committee.

• The pardons provide relief to those individuals who have been unfairly targeted by the government and demonstrate the president’s commitment to defending democracy and its institutions.

• The move has opened the door to future reforms that could benefit other public servants who have been unfairly targeted by the government.

• The impact of these pardons will likely be felt across various sectors, including politics, law enforcement, and the judiciary.

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